US stocks took a hit yesterday from the hotter-than-expected September CPI report, which saw headline prices jump and core annual inflation also push up to 2.6%. Tech shares were the ones bearing the brunt of the pain ...
cadusd.ca
The latest in Canadian / US dollar exchange forecasting, news and currency conversion
$1 USD
=
$0.7038
CAD
$1 = $1.4209
Outlook: Bearish ↘
Recent hot U.S. CPI data has reinforced concerns about sticky service inflation, supporting a 'higher-for-longer' interest rate environment and strengthening the US dollar. While indicators like robust Canadian building permits show domestic strength, the powerful surge in U.S. prices is driving up yield expectations and market uncertainty. Federal officials are signaling that sustained inflation is the primary concern, pushing the debate from whether the Fed will hike to when they might cut. This fundamental divergence in rate outlook suggests continued USD outperformance against the CAD.
Resources
Latest News
US stocks took a hit yesterday from the hotter-than-expected September CPI report, which saw headline prices jump and core annual inflation also push up to 2.6%. Tech shares were the ones bearing the brunt of the pain ...
www.forexlive.com
Conway’s comments keep a late-October hike live, which should support the New Zealand dollar against currencies where rate expectations are falling, most notably the Australian dollar after Thursday’s weak jobs rep...
www.forexlive.com
The comments support the view that the ECB can hold its nerve on an energy-led price shock, which should limit pressure for tighter policy in the near term and leave the euro without a fresh rate-driven boost. His attr...
www.forexlive.com
Koeda’s message leans hawkish: by placing the neutral rate considerably above the current 1.25% policy rate and warning against excessive caution, she keeps further BOJ hikes firmly on the table. That should offer th...
www.forexlive.com
The rebound suggests markets may have overreacted to the CPI print, with the post-data selloff in Treasuries now looking stretched. For gold, the key level is less a price than a relationship: as long as 10-year yields...
www.forexlive.com
If China’s holdings are more stable than reported, one of the market’s recurring worries, a steady Chinese exit from Treasuries, would carry less weight, which could ease some concern about foreign demand at US deb...
www.forexlive.com
For oil traders, the signal matters more than the mechanics: Washington is clearly prioritising lower fuel costs ahead of the midterms and is willing to bend sanctions policy to get there. Any added tanker capacity in ...
www.forexlive.com
Australian employment market data for September 2026.Employment Change -39.3Kexpected 20.0K, prior 39.5K Unemployment Rate 4.7% ... an unfortunate result which does take some reason away for further RBA rate hikes, at...
www.forexlive.com
Plenty from China yesterday:investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: dollar softer ahead of US CPI---The People’s Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time),...
www.forexlive.com
Citi’s shift removes one of the last prominent holdouts against a December hike, so the debate moves from whether the Fed tightens again to when. The swing in October pricing, which spiked after the data and then fad...
www.forexlive.com
US consumer prices rose 3.7% in the year to September, up from 3.4% in August and a touch above expectations of 3.6%, according to Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index report. Prices climbed 0.6% on the month, in line wi...
www.forexlive.com
Daly’s comments are the clearest pushback yet against the jump in October hike pricing that followed the CPI data. Expect them to trim the odds of a move on October 27-28 without denting expectations for a December i...
www.forexlive.com
Together, the two releases make an October hike harder to dismiss. Markets are pricing close to a 40% chance of a move on October 27-28, even though key officials had steered expectations toward December. The oil link ...
www.forexlive.com
US September CPI 3.7% vs 3.6% expectedCanada August building permits rise 8.8% vs 2.0% expectedFed's Beige Book: Nine of 12 districts report growth as price pressures broadenFed’s Goolsbee: CPI was discouraging,...
www.forexlive.com
CPI data was ‘discouraging’Service inflation in CPI was a concernKey to focus on trend of inflation, not one reportHearing about cost and prices from contacts, not hearing about worries about recessionHopes energy ...
www.forexlive.com
The US dollar is broadly stronger today and that briefly pushed it to the highest against the Canadian dollar since April 2025. The peak was 1.4299 (or 0.6993 CAD). The 70-cent level is a sensitive one domestically and...
www.forexlive.com
US stocks fall after CPI. Sellers make a play, but key support remains intact.Nasdaq 100 is closest to a key downside break as buyers defend support across the broader indices.The higher-than-expected CPI data has US s...
www.forexlive.com
The US CPI came in higher than expectations and that has stocks lower, yields higher, and the dollar moving to the upside.Where are the problem areas?Energy is the immediate problem. Gasoline jumped 9.1% in September,...
www.forexlive.com
The stakes around the October Federal Reserve meeting suddenly got much higher. Today's US CPI report was hot across the board, including in core measures that are less volatile than the energy-driven headline. Th...
www.forexlive.com
S&P 500 futures: CPI selloff threatens the recovery channel, with a lower support test in viewS&P 500 E-mini futures have turned lower following the US CPI report, with the four-hour chart showing a potentially...
www.forexlive.com
Community Sentiment
Sign in to share your outlook
No comments yet. Be the first to share your outlook!