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cadusd.ca

The latest in Canadian / US dollar exchange forecasting, news and currency conversion

$1 USAUSD =

$0.7262 CanadaCAD

$1 Canada = $1.3770 USA

Outlook: Bullish

Recent news includes positive Japanese economic data and a US-South Korea trade deal. However, trade talks between the US and China face structural challenges, and Goldman Sachs anticipates a significant US tariff rate on Brazilian imports. The Federal Reserve held rates steady, with some members dissenting and favoring a rate cut. Despite headwinds, Goldman Sachs remains bullish on stocks, but the USDCAD has broken above its 100-day moving average suggesting potential CAD weakness, but overall there appears to be broad global trade improvements.

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Latest News

Trump announced a trade agreement with South Korea earlier - recap ICYMI

15% Tariff Deal Avoids Higher Rate: The U.S. will implement a 15% tariff on South Korean imports, sidestepping a potential 25% tariff that would have come into effect on August 1 without an agreement.Comprehensive Tra...

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PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.2062 – Reuters estimate

People's Bank of China USD/CNY reference rate is due around 0115 GMT.The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, is responsible for setting the daily midpoint of the yuan (also known as renminb...

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Japan Preliminary June Industrial production +1.7% m/m (expected -0.6%)

Japan Preliminary June Industrial production come in improved from May, a welcome development. +4% y/yprior -2.4%+1.7% m/mexpected -0.6%, prior -0.1%Still to come from Japan today:Economic calendar in Asia Thursday, Ju...

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Japan June Retail sales +2.0% y/y (expected +1.8%)

Japan June Retail sales come in much better than expected, a welcome development. The Bank of Japan will remain on hold today is the expectations (see links below for previews). +1.0% m/mprior -0.2%+2.0% y/yexpected +1...

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Chinese state media says some deep seated & structural problems in trade talks with US

Xinhua commentary on China-U.S. trade talksChina is 100% sincere in the consultationsSome deep-seated and structural problems in China-US economic and trade relations cannot be solved overnightChina is willing to prope...

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RBA Dep Gov Hauser: Says the CPI data were very welcome

Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser CPI data were very welcome (ICYMI, CPI lower) Trimmed mean dead in line with our forecastsFull impact of tariffs is yet to comeThis will be a real tax increase in...

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Reserve Bank of Australia Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser speaking coming up

Fireside chat with Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser at the Barrenjoey Economic Forum, Sydney.Live link when it begins.Listening out for any hints of the August interest rate cut coming up from the Bank, yesterday's CP...

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PREVIEW - BOJ likely to hold steady, market too hawkish on October hike odds

Bank of America anticipates the Bank of Japan will keep its policy rate unchanged at 0.5% when it concludes its 30–31 July meeting, warning that current market expectations for a near-term hike—particularly in Octo...

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Goldman Sachs calculates upcoming U.S. effective tariff rate on Brazil at 30.8%.

Goldman Sachs calculates the upcoming U.S. effective tariff rate on all Brazilian imports, including exemptions, at 30.8%.Goldman says the Brazil tariff rate calculation includes expectations for additional sectoral ta...

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Goldman Sachs flags slow growth, sticky inflation, rising yields, but stays bullish stocks

Headwinds aplenty for the US, but Goldman Sachs shrugs 'em all off. This from multiple sources in the bank. Sluggish growth expected despite recession being avoided While the U.S. economy is not expected to fall in...

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Trump announces a trade deal with South Korea

Trump announces a trade deal with South Korea, the main points: The United States and South Korea have reached a full and complete trade deal.South Korea will provide $350 billion for U.S.-owned and controlled investme...

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Brazil’s central bank holds benchmark interest rate at 15.00%, as expected

Brazil’s central bank holds benchmark interest rate at 15.00%, as expectedDecision was unanimousExpects an interruption of the tightening cycleAssessing the accumulated effects of the already implemented adjustmentWi...

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Hong Kong's central bank FX intervened again to support the HKD

Hong Kong Monetary Authority bought just under 4bn HKD to prop up the currency.The USD has risen in the wake of the FOMC on hold and less dovish statement/press conference. Major FX is lower across the board, and that&...

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BOJ expected to hold rates steady, offers cautious optimism as trade headwinds ease

The Bank of Japan is expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Thursday, wrapping up its two-day policy meeting with a cautiously optimistic tone amid easing trade tensions following a new agreement with Washington...

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Investinglive Americas FX news wrap 30 Jul: FOMC keeps rates unchanged. No hint of a cut.

Microsoft and Meta both beat handily on the top and bottom lines.Mix close for the major US indicesWhat were the trends in the Powell comments by topicFed Powell Q&A press conference LIVE: The economy is in a solid...

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JPMorgan’s Michele: Fed likely to hold rates in September also, as it waits for more data

Bob Michele, global head of fixed income at JPMorgan Asset Management, says the U.S. Federal Reserve is likely to keep interest rates on hold at its September meeting, emphasising that policymakers need to see further ...

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Economic calendar in Asia Thursday, July 31, 2025 - BoJ interest rate decision, China PMIs

The official PMIs from China are due today. In the days ahead we'll get the unofficial, Caixin/S&P PMIs. The two PMIs are quite different. If you are unfamiliar with this, the following will set you up for next...

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Who was that guy "wary of the FOMC", warning of "complacency", "risk for more hawkish"?

Who was that guy "wary of the FOMC", warning of "complacency", "risk for more hawkish"?Oh yeah ... me:I am wary of the FOMC. While no rate cut is expected, it seems to me there is some complacen...

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USDCAD rises above the 100 day MA

The USDCAD has broken above its 100-day moving average for the first time since April, signaling a potential shift in trend. The moving average—currently at 1.38279—had been sloping steadily downward, reflecting th...

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What were the trends in the Powell comments by topic

The question and answer is over and Powell played it down the middle of the road. The Fed held rates steady, but a historic split emerged. For the first time in over three decades, two voting members—Governors Michel...

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